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Is Boeing Stock a Buy Following Q3 Earnings?

November 2, 2020 Market

Is Boeing Stock a Buy Following Q3 Earnings?

As restrictions tightened in Europe amidst rising fresh coronavirus instances, U.S. stock market went right into a tailspin this specific week. Of course, the aviation sector was not spared, and despite better than expected Q3 earnings, neither was Boeing (BA). The stock finished the week down fourteen %, further adding to 2020’s poor performance.

Expectations were low proceeding straight into the quarter’s print documents, and even with posting a fourth consecutive quarterly loss, Boeing’s third-quarter results came in in advance of Wall Street estimates.

Revenue dropped by 29.4 % year-over-year, but usually at $14.1 billion still beat the Street’s forecast by $140 huge number of. The loss on the main point here was not as bad as expected, also, with Non GAAP EPS of -1dolar1 1.39 beating consensus by $0.55.

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Boeing reported negative (FCF) no cost cash flow of $5.08 billion, however, still, the figure was an enhancement on the earlier quarter’s poor $5.6 billion. But, with a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the aviation industry, Boeing’s optimism of turning cash flow positive next year looks a tad upbeat.

To be an outcome, RBC analyst Michael Eisen cut his 2021 estimate from FCF generation of $3.9 billion to a dollars burn up of $5.3 billion. The change is mostly driven by further build of inventory,” that the analyst sees “surpassing ninety dolars BN in danger of early’ 21,” as well as “a lag time within the timing of liquidating those business aircraft. Eisen currently anticipates negative FCF until 1Q22, compared to the prior 3Q21.

Boeing announced it plans on cutting an extra 7,000 tasks. The business entered 2020 with 160,000 staff and has already decreased staff by 19,000. The A&D giant mentioned it expects to cut the workforce lowered by to 130,000 by the tail end of 2021.

It all points to an uphill fight, even thought Eisen believes BA is able to turn a working profit in’ twenty one.

We feel profitability remains a wildcard as the company battles to remove cost out of the device to offset an absence of demand recovery and often will mostly be influenced by commercial need improving, Eisen said. Longer term, the structural methods to consolidate operations by up to thirty %, buy in efficiencies, and for ever management expense really should provide upside as need recovers.

Additional catalysts such as the re-certification of the 737 MAX, the potential incremental orders of commercial aircraft plus safeguard shrink awards, don’t stop Eisen’s rating an Outperform (i.e. Buy). His price target, during $181, implies a 25 % upside from current levels. (To view Eisen’s background, press here)

BA gets reviews that are mixed from Eisen’s colleagues however they lean to the bulls’ side area. In accordance with 8 Buys, 9 Holds and 1 Sell, the stock has a moderate Buy consensus rating. Upside of ~24 % could be in the cards, given the $179 average price target. (See Boeing stock evaluation on TipRanks)

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